d22e0e00ae
tech-debt(tradein/estimator): collapse won estimate_* flags into defaults ( #1970 ) ( #2475 )
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2026-07-12 12:46:18 +00:00
bot-backend
3505a4e3e5
feat(tradein/estimator): включить кросс-source физдедуп аналогов по умолчанию ( #2087 H4, #2173 )
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estimate_dedup_analogs_enabled: False → True. Бэктест #1966 OFF vs ON
accuracy-идентичен (MAPE 13.89%, coverage 83.33%, bias −3.83%, median
width/cv без изменений) — включение меняет только user-visible n_analogs:
перестаёт быть раздутым кросс-постингом одного физлота на avito+cian+domklik
×3. Откат — ENV ESTIMATE_DEDUP_ANALOGS_ENABLED=false.
Тесты разведены default vs explicit (не ослаблены):
- test_estimator_dedup_cross_source_2087: добавлен test_dedup_default_is_on
(без monkeypatch — дедуп активен по умолчанию); test_dedup_flag_off_is_noop
оставляет ЯВНЫЙ OFF-override.
- test_backtest_regression_gate: пиним флаг OFF — гейт это байт-идентичный
replay frozen OFF-capture (recorded call-sequence фикстуры без дедупа); с
ON _dedup_cross_source триммит listings до quarter_indexes_lookup и
control-flow расходится с записью.
- test_estimator_n_analogs_priced (autouse) + test_radius_path_n_analogs_unchanged:
пиним OFF — инвариант «n_analogs = число priced-аналогов»/radius-passthrough
ортогонален дедупу, а синтетические аналоги делят адрес/этаж/площадь и
схлопнулись бы как кросс-посты.
Refs #2087 , #2173
2026-07-02 20:56:39 +03:00
c45445b726
feat(tradein/estimator): hedonic year+area correction on expected_sold ( #2002 )
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2026-06-27 16:06:08 +00:00
9448a945d4
feat(tradein/estimator): calibrated 80% prediction interval for expected_sold range ( #1966 )
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2026-06-27 14:01:24 +00:00
ec82742456
feat(tradein): same-building anchor safe-guard ( #755 )
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CLIENT-VISIBLE pricing (killer-factor, demo 2026-06-01). The same-building
anchor replaced headline median/range/confidence with an over-confident
premium on as few as 2 same-building asking comps. Human-chosen (Anton)
3-part safe-guard, all implemented:
1. min_comps 2 -> 4: anchor fires only with >=4 same-building comps.
2. confidence cap: at <5 anchor comps, confidence cannot be 'high' -> medium.
3. MAD-clip: drop price_per_m2 outliers among anchor comps before aggregation
(k=estimate_sb_mad_k=3.5); if <min_comps survive, anchor does NOT fire
(fallback to radius-median). Guards against price typos inflating anchor.
Anchor still REPLACES the headline (uplift-no-replace variant NOT chosen).
quarter-index/radius-tier/asking-sold untouched. 8 new unit tests; 61 anchor
tests pass, ruff clean.
MERGE-GATE (client-visible, like #764/#858): do NOT merge without a green
backtest #763 (held-out MAPE <= 18.7% + canonical A/B Малышева 125 /
Заводская 44а). Backtest needs live DB — pre-merge human/qa step.
Refs #755 , #694
2026-05-31 12:19:50 +03:00
34a13d71c3
fix(tradein): sync n_analogs to anchor count when anchor drives headline ( #695 ) ( #739 )
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2026-05-30 15:25:35 +00:00
2b3eb0b23d
fix(tradein): confidence_explanation no longer contradicts counters ( #695 ) ( #738 )
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2026-05-30 15:10:31 +00:00
a79cf7d5e0
fix(tradein): coarse-geo downgrade no longer shielded by Tier C anchor ( #693 ) ( #720 )
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2026-05-30 12:34:11 +00:00
0e2bba78b7
fix(tradein): coarse-geo downgrade works without DaData on prod ( #693 ) ( #718 )
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2026-05-30 12:08:56 +00:00
961a3caf2b
fix(tradein): surface same-building comps as analogs when anchor fires ( #694 ) ( #708 )
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2026-05-30 09:21:20 +00:00
9d94beae4f
fix(tradein): flag coarse-geo estimates as low-confidence ( #693 ) ( #707 )
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2026-05-30 08:58:23 +00:00
f04728297b
fix(tradein): run same-building anchor without radius analogs ( #691 ) ( #704 )
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2026-05-30 08:34:24 +00:00
6fac54642a
fix(tradein): distinct asking median vs expected-sold price (no double-discount) ( #682 )
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2026-05-30 06:35:46 +00:00
3361e434d4
feat(tradein): refine same-building anchor for within-building heterogeneity ( #681 )
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2026-05-30 05:49:46 +00:00
b5c26d2723
fix(tradein): harden same-building anchor address normalizer for prod formats ( #677 ) ( #679 )
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2026-05-29 22:21:29 +00:00
03a3296332
feat(tradein): same-building anchor estimator (#651/#652 v2) behind flag ( #677 )
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2026-05-29 21:01:21 +00:00