gendesign/backend/app/services/forecasting
Light1YT a0e61a38b4
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feat(forecasting): §9.x→§22 orchestrator + fix supply-side district resolution (3a)
Add build_site_finder_report (orchestrator.py): computes the §9.x layers (market
metrics, supply layers, future-supply pressure, demand/supply forecast, scenarios,
score card, special indices, recommendation overlay) with their heterogeneous
signatures and feeds the PURE assemble_report → §22 SiteFinderReport. Default segment
= modal competitor class; each §9.x call _safe_call-wrapped (graceful). Standalone —
no endpoint/Celery/persistence (that is 3b).

Prod ground-truth of the orchestrator surfaced a false-BUY bug: future_supply
(compute_future_supply_pressure) read the mixed-vocab persisted view
v_supply_layers_latest by a SCALAR admin district_name, missing all Layer-1
micro-keyed rows → admin parcel (Кировский) got supply=0 → false +1.0 deficit →
'Строить: недонасыщен' headline despite ~45k competing units. Fix: resolve
admin→micros, filter district_name = ANY(CAST(:names AS text[])) where names =
micros (L1) + admin (L2/L3), with :has_district EKB-wide guard (extends PR #1054's
resolver to the persisted-view path it missed). future_supply is the only
v_supply_layers_latest consumer on the forecast path (verified).

Prod after: Кировский supply 0→~42953, deficit +1.0→−1.0 (honest oversupply),
MOI 0→116.6, false-BUY headline gone, overall 0.734→0.42. 80 module tests pass
(signature-trap + resolver-regression guards genuine); ruff clean. Refs #961 #969.
2026-06-05 08:21:04 +05:00
..
__init__.py feat(forecasting): §13 report assembler (#988, 955-A2) (#1021) 2026-06-03 08:51:23 +00:00
affordability.py fix(affordability): calibrate key_rate->market mortgage spread to 4.5pp 2026-06-04 17:21:29 +05:00
confidence_engine.py feat(forecasting): §15 confidence engine v2 (#990, 955-A4) (#1020) 2026-06-03 08:41:07 +00:00
demand_normalization.py feat(forecasting): wire Almon-ADL rate estimator into §9.6 consumers (#978) 2026-06-04 10:33:31 +00:00
demand_supply_forecast.py feat(forecasting): add months-of-inventory (MOI) to §9.8 demand-supply forecast 2026-06-05 07:36:59 +05:00
macro_coefficient.py feat(forecasting): §9.5 macro coefficient (#951e, advisory) (#1010) 2026-06-03 06:20:04 +00:00
macro_series.py feat(forecasting): monthly macro series + regime classifier (#951b) (#1007) 2026-06-03 05:37:43 +00:00
normalize.py feat(forecasting): seasonal (month-of-year) demand normalization (#979) 2026-06-04 11:19:50 +05:00
orchestrator.py feat(forecasting): §9.x→§22 orchestrator + fix supply-side district resolution (3a) 2026-06-05 08:21:04 +05:00
product_scoring.py feat(forecasting): wire Almon-ADL rate estimator into §9.6 consumers (#978) 2026-06-04 10:33:31 +00:00
rate_sensitivity.py feat(forecasting): seasonal (month-of-year) demand normalization (#979) 2026-06-04 11:19:50 +05:00
recommendation.py fix(forecasting): honest USP gate (di>0) + unit-explicit coverage fraction 2026-06-04 13:25:25 +05:00
regression.py feat(forecasting): wire Almon-ADL rate estimator into §9.6 consumers (#978) 2026-06-04 10:33:31 +00:00
report.py feat(forecasting): §13 SiteFinderReport object (#987, 955-A1) (#1019) 2026-06-03 08:33:01 +00:00
report_assembler.py feat(forecasting): add months-of-inventory (MOI) to §9.8 demand-supply forecast 2026-06-05 07:36:59 +05:00
sales_series.py feat(forecast): resolve admin district -> micro set in §9.x market/supply/sales filters 2026-06-05 07:03:37 +05:00
scenarios.py feat(forecasting): §11 macro-scenarios (#984, 954-A) (#1016) 2026-06-03 07:59:22 +00:00
special_indices.py feat(forecasting): §25 six special indices (#986, 954-C) (#1018) 2026-06-03 08:24:08 +00:00
what_to_build.py feat(forecasting): what-to-build ranker + MAI proxy (#981, 952-B) (#1013) 2026-06-03 07:07:17 +00:00