gendesign/backend
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feat(forecasting): seasonal (month-of-year) demand normalization (#979)
REOPENED — normalize.py was never created; only rate-regime discount existed.
New backend/app/services/forecasting/normalize.py with normalize_demand(series):
multiplicative month-of-year deseasonalization of the raw monthly demand
SalesSeries (§9.4). Pure/deterministic; min-data guard (<2 full years / empty
month / overall_mean<=0 → factor 1.0, no divide-by-zero, no thin-data noise).
Exposes seasonal factors for explainability. Synthetic unit test: seasonality
removed (month means equalised), flat unchanged, thin/empty/all-zero safe.

DoD (module + doc + test) MET. Production wiring into
rate_sensitivity._align_sales_deltas DEFERRED (documented TODO): deseasonalizing
the short rate-driven series perturbs the recovered β/lag on current data —
needs a points-per-month gate / joint seasonal+rate estimation + backtest before
wiring. Forecast stack is advisory regardless. Refs #979
2026-06-04 11:19:50 +05:00
..
alembic ops: alembic baseline, pre-commit, TIGER cleanup, pg_dump scripts 2026-04-26 13:08:51 +03:00
app feat(forecasting): seasonal (month-of-year) demand normalization (#979) 2026-06-04 11:19:50 +05:00
db/init ops: alembic baseline, pre-commit, TIGER cleanup, pg_dump scripts 2026-04-26 13:08:51 +03:00
output feat(geo): NSPD bulk-fetcher без Playwright + resume-friendly UI 2026-05-11 08:53:28 +03:00
scripts feat(#978b): Source A + detrend in rate-sensitivity backtest (#1025) 2026-06-03 09:51:48 +00:00
tests feat(forecasting): seasonal (month-of-year) demand normalization (#979) 2026-06-04 11:19:50 +05:00
.dockerignore fix(scraper): диагностируем «кнопка не работает» — Redis lock + task_received log 2026-04-28 23:17:42 +03:00
.env.example refactor(security): убрать X-Admin-Token (Caddy basic_auth достаточен) (#437) 2026-05-23 10:41:22 +00:00
.env.runtime.example sprint1: nspd scraper industrialization, per-bucket elasticity, cadastre cross-check, sentry releases 2026-04-30 21:51:19 +03:00
alembic.ini ops: alembic baseline, pre-commit, TIGER cleanup, pg_dump scripts 2026-04-26 13:08:51 +03:00
debug.log feat(geo): NSPD bulk-fetcher без Playwright + resume-friendly UI 2026-05-11 08:53:28 +03:00
Dockerfile fix(scraper): диагностируем «кнопка не работает» — Redis lock + task_received log 2026-04-28 23:17:42 +03:00
pyproject.toml feat(rbac): role-based access control via X-Authenticated-User middleware (#585) 2026-05-26 06:18:40 +00:00
uv.lock feat(rbac): role-based access control via X-Authenticated-User middleware (#585) 2026-05-26 06:18:40 +00:00