Light1YT
9cffe3c9ec
Backtest (OOS directional hit-rate): single-best-lag compute_rate_sensitivity is directionally noise (0.148 Source B EKB-wide, lag-unstable); the Almon distributed-lag estimator (compute_district_rate_regression) is strictly less noisy on every tier (0.407 Source B / 0.60 survivorship-free Source A, lag-stable). Add a thin adapter compute_rate_regime_sensitivity mapping DistributedLagFit onto the existing RateSensitivity contract (beta=long-run sum-beta, confidence regression->medium / fallback->low, district=None->low and no call) and repoint the three consumers (demand_normalization, product_scoring, demand_supply_forecast). Magnitude bounded by the existing [0.5,1.2] clamp. Reversible; compute_rate_sensitivity kept for the backtest. Consumer tests repointed to the real Almon path (mutation-verified genuine) + adapter unit tests + end-to-end fallback degradation. Forecasting suite 840 passed; ruff clean. |
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| .. | ||
| analysis_runs | ||
| cadastre | ||
| etl | ||
| exporters | ||
| forecasting | ||
| generative | ||
| photos | ||
| scrapers | ||
| site_finder | ||
| __init__.py | ||
| analytics_queries.py | ||
| analytics_refresh.py | ||
| job_settings.py | ||
| objective_etl.py | ||
| objective_sync_config.py | ||