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Author SHA1 Message Date
3a13bce468 fix(forecasting): savepoint db.execute failures to stop §22 session poisoning (#2464)
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One layer's caught DB error left the shared §22 report Session in Postgres's
"aborted transaction" state with no rollback, silently emptying every later
layer on the same report. Wrap each failure point in db.begin_nested()
(SAVEPOINT): orchestrator._safe_call, macro_series _query_key_rate_monthly /
_query_inflation_monthly / _query_mortgage_monthly (per indicator),
special_indices._run (per index), and sales_series _query_source_a /
_query_source_b — so a sibling builder's failure no longer cascades.

Also close the RELEASE-SAVEPOINT trap: inner helpers that swallowed a
db.execute failure without their own savepoint left the tx aborted, so the
outer builder's savepoint failed at RELEASE (illegal in an aborted tx) and
poisoning still cascaded. Add savepoints at the inner catch sites —
special_indices._query_parcel_centroid and district_resolver._admin_names /
resolve_objective_districts.

Refs #2464 (cluster A session-poisoning).
2026-07-07 17:50:17 +05:00
25e21c2bff feat(macro): CBR inflation (ИПЦ YoY) -> macro_indicator + activate §9.5 channel (#946)
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fedstat ИПЦ is reCAPTCHA-blocked; CBR publishes inflation openly. Add
fetch_inflation + parse_inflation_xlsx (CBR UniDbQuery DownloadExcel/132934,
monthly % г/г, region=rf, source=cbr) to cbr_macro.py; upsert
indicator_type=inflation_yoy via the existing cbr_macro_sync task (per-series
guard, SAVEPOINT-per-row, CAST not ::, ON CONFLICT on the PK).

Surface inflation_yoy in MonthlyMacro (frozen, carry-forward) and ACTIVATE the
reserved §9.5 inflation channel (macro_coefficient f_inflation: level-vs-4%-target
nudge, non-positive to avoid double-counting f_rate, excluded from
_RATE_DRIVEN_FACTORS). Channel was DEGRADED (no data) -> now BACKED + consumed;
_CONF_HIGH_MIN_BACKED 4->5. Deterministic (§16/§26); renorm claims the reserved
0.08 slice as designed. Live-verified (2026-04 5.58%); 194 macro + 902 forecasting
tests green. No migration, no new deps.

Refs #946.
2026-06-08 11:41:14 +05:00
ace3b99508 feat(forecasting): monthly macro series + regime classifier (#951b) (#1007)
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2026-06-03 05:37:43 +00:00