REOPENED. _SALES_WINDOW_SQL derived "sales in window" from objective_lots_history
snapshots, but history is only ~17 days deep — every currently-sold lot had a
sold-snapshot in the window, so window-sales collapsed into the entire cumulative
sold stock (Автовокзал 6mo: 33,245 vs real ~2,308). Inflated absorption_rate
(~235%/mo with confidence=high), months_of_supply, unit_velocity, liquidity,
demand_concentration → contaminated forecast #950/#952.
Count window sales directly from objective_lots by contract_date in the window
(the real sale date — present on 100% of sold lots: 41,091/41,091). Return
contract of _query_sales_window unchanged (units/area/by-room ROLLUP); downstream
formulas untouched. Removed the now-dead objective_lots_history JOIN/CTE.
Regression test: lots sold outside window (contract_date out of range) not counted
(41,091 cumulative vs 2,308 window → absorption 2.35→0.04). 288 tests green.
Verification = prod compute_market_metrics(Автовокзал) post-deploy. Refs #949
REOPENED. L3 future-supply rows are computed per (district_name, dev_group_name)
but dev_group_name was never a key column — only embedded in method text. With
complex_id/obj_class NULL for L3, every dev_group of a district collapsed to one
upsert key → ~95.6% loss. Ground-truth (Академический, prod): should be 13,808
units / 15 dev_groups / 54 objects; only 1 row / 607 units survived.
Migration 128: ADD COLUMN supply_layers.dev_group_name TEXT + rebuild
uq_supply_layers_logical to (layer, district_name, complex_id, obj_class,
dev_group_name, source, snapshot_date) NULLS NOT DISTINCT (L1/L2 dev_group_name
NULL stays transparent → their dedup unchanged; L3 distinct groups no longer
collapse). Dry-run-verified vs prod catalog (applies clean, ROLLBACK clean).
Worker: SupplyLayerRow gains dev_group_name (L1/L2=None, L3=group); _UPSERT_SQL
adds it to INSERT/VALUES (CAST(:dev_group_name AS text)) + ON CONFLICT (key col,
not in DO UPDATE SET). Service+worker regression tests assert same-district/
different-dev_group → distinct keys (no collapse). 234 supply tests pass.
Deploy applies migration before container restart; collapsed data self-heals on
next supply_layers_refresh. Verification = prod re-measure post-deploy.
Refs #970
Round 1 (commit bcd7dc8) был broken: на 2-bucket входах surplus уходил в free
полностью без учёта capacity → free превышал cap → следующая итерация
clamp'ировала его и наоборот. Infinite oscillation в FastAPI handler.
Round 2 fix per review BLOCK (#282 comment):
- Surplus распределяется пропорционально available capacity (cap - v),
не текущему v. Free никогда не вылетит выше cap.
- free = строго < cap (не <=) — иначе деление на 0 capacity.
- Hard guard `for _ in range(N+1)` — гарантированно завершается.
- Pathological (surplus > total_capacity): возвращаем оригинальный pct_map
+ cap_skipped=True (sum=100 invariant сохранён).
- Hamilton round вынесен в _hamilton_round() helper.
Tests:
- 2-bucket cases (90/10, 70/30, 99/1) expected cap_skipped=True
- test_cap_iteration_count_bounded — все pathological завершаются < 100ms
- All 13 cases verified standalone (3 fast-path + 7 reproduced + 3 pathological)
Раньше _VELOCITY_DIVISORS делил агрегаты mv_layout_velocity (24 мес)
на 4/12 для quarter/year, не меняя реальное окно данных. Теперь
inline SQL из objective_corpus_room_month с CAST(:window_interval AS interval).
velocity_per_month = deals_window / months_in_window (1.0/3.0/12.0).
Разные time_window → разные строки из БД → разный mix/velocity/jk_count.
Closes (epic part) #271 item 1
